Nov.98-Present***OVERALL-TOP THREE(3) (PAY PICKS) %78
Percents for ALL(PAY PICKS)Races/Win%35,/Best Bets%48,/Fast Fran%29,/LS Joe%26
ORDER HIGHER LEVEL FOR MORE INFO
**THURS.'s PAY PAGE Selections For
NEW YORK/BELMONT PARK
**SELECTIONS FOR THURSDAY 6/17/99**
**BELMONT SELECTIONS UP BY 11:15 AM EACH RACING DAY**
***DISPLAY PAGE FROM ACTUAL DAY, USE PREMIUM PACKAGE CHOICE TO ORDER.
PP# is the Post Position #, Always Check for your Selection's Correct Wager #. The Stick is not responsible for errors in PP#'s.
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Race #1-MDN.SPCL-$41K-1 1/8 Mile(INN.TURF) *MDN TURF-Caution*
Top Selection: PP#1 Ben's Bluesman *Velasquez* 84/85
Second Selection: PP#2 Winter Bid *Davis* 78/85
Third Selection: PP#10 Slewster *Migliore* 73/80
Fourth Selections: PP#5 Improve *Gryder* 70/75
Reasons:
Bluesman is coming off a layoff, as are many in here. He ran a nice race on the Tight Turns of Aqueduct's Turf course. The Inner at Belm is also tighter turns, but probably a little bigger. Dickinson is one incredible Turf Trainer. He has a unique method that builds them up and most of his trainee's are runners. Velasquez knows the turf and this one has a solid chance if ready. Open Race.
Bid is coming off a layoff from last year. Is %50 in the money on the Turf, and should be able to land a share in this uneven field. Not a Big wager.
Slewster is a decent horse on dirt, not sure how he will do first time out on turf.
Improve also comes off a layoff, but that first start for him was in a fast race on turf. His 4th by 6 lengths is not that bad an effort. Gryder/Hushion a nice team, unknown quantity.
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Race #2-CLMG-($16-18K)-1 Mile *Low CLMG-Caution*
Top Selection: PP#5 Swiss County *Davis* 83/85
Second Selection: PP#2 Listen to Me *Santos* 80/85
Third Selection: PP#4 Kinnesbrook *Espinoza* 76/80
Fourth Selections: PP#6 Bar None *Bridgmohan* 72/75
Reasons:
County has run against better and id dropping down to a level where he should be very competitive. Not a Strong Play.
Me is HUGE Winner from his last race. Always use horses that win in their last by 10+ Lengths. Santos stays on board for possible repeat. Speed horse will attempt to steal the race.
Kinnesbrook was the horse 10+ lengths behind Listen to ME. A Change of tactics and a more aggressive move by Espinoza may put him up closer in the stretch. Open Race.
None was another 4 lengths behind the 2nd and 3rd choices here. However, None has won 3 of 4 races at this distance at Aqueduct. Is a strong middle mover, but di not fire in his last two. Your call on Uneven horse.
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Race #3-MDN.SPCL-$40K-6 Furlongs *1st'ers-Caution*
Top Selection: PP#1 Dachia Nights *Davis* 81/85 *Fast Fran Sleeper*
Second Selection: PP#3 Cargo Kid *Gryder* 80/80
Third Selection: PP#5 Mossad *Diego* 72/80
Fourth Selections: PP#6 Dust'Em *Baily* 71/75
Reasons:
Nights is for Russian Fans. A Dachia is a Get-Away Vacation place for Rusains in the cities. This horse showed nice speed in his first start and he tired to 5th by 4 lengths. He could move way up off that last effort, and Tesher is a very underated Trainer. Not a Strong Play.
Kid is from the very Strong Stronach Stables. They bred this one out of Miswaki and Cargo(?). Miswaki's are strong horses, and this one may be ready to run first time out. Always be careful of Gryder/Orseno. This is an Open Race with many 1st'ers.
Mossad is the Israeli Secret Services, and this horses performance may be the most secret thing going if Young Trainer Jimmy Jerkins has anything to say about it. Comes in off a layoff from last year. Had a Great 6F two back at Saratoga, bred out of Sheikh Albadou who shocked the Breeders Cup Sprint wat back when. Might Surprise at a HUGE Price. Risky Wager.
Dust'em flashed good speed in his debut a year ago, and has been resting ever since. Clement known more for his Turf runners then his sprinters, but Bailey picks up the mount, and has been showing nice workouts. Possible Exotics Value.
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Race #4-CLMG-($40-50K)-1 1/16 Mile(INN.TURF) *Good Field*
Top Selection: PP#6 Trucking Barron *Chavez* 88/90
Second Selection: PP#10 Ten Times Nobility *Velasquez* 86/90
Third Selection: PP#8 Exaltado *M.Smith* 82/85
Fourth Selections: PP#3 Pastures New *Migliore* 75/80
Reasons:
Barron has run Three(3) Very Strong races. He always closes strongly, but does come up short by a head or a nose on occassion. a Probable Trifecta Finish.
Nobility has nice speed, but sometimes hangs or comes up short. This Distance might be the proper one, and you can bet Johhny V. will be pumping and driving. Might get caught, but could be an Exotics value.
Exaltado threw in a bad race last time out. He showed some power in Florida, and can close strongly if he gets the right trip. Sciacca always a Great Turf Trainer. Could show for soem Exotic Value at a price.
If New can keep his jockey this time, he has a shot to close and make Exotics value. Be Careful, has never won in 16 starts on this surface, but manages to find the Board a few times.
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Race #5-MDN.SPCL-$40K-7 Furlongs *1st'ers-Caution*
Top Selection: PP#5 Tomisue's Pleasure *A.Smith* 90/90 *Fast Fran Sleeper*
Second Selection: PP#2 Minbar *Davis* 87/90 *Longshot Joe Special*
Third Selection: PP#3 Ministorm *Migliore* 85/90
Fourth Selections: PP#6 Country Hideaway *M.Smith* 80/80
Reasons:
Pleasure is a $500K Purchase(Gasp!)Incredible Breeding, Fantastic Works, Zito calls the shots. You know they will not kill the horse if he is behind in his first start. Could Roll, and Roll BIG in this Debut. Caution.
Minbar ran well for 2 Second place finishes last year at Saratoga. Nice Works for return, and this is a Shadwell Homebred. Robbie rides for McLaughlin. Could simply run back to his races last year and step up for the win.
Ministorm showed great speed and tired at 6 1/2F, may tire again, but has some nice works at 4F that show on his workouts.
Hideaway is a Phipps homebred, and they are always a Powerful Stable of Racing People. Leave them off at your own risk, but this is a 1st'er also, and you may want to see a race first.
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Race #6-CLMG-($50-60K)-6 Furlongs *Uneven Field*
Top Selection: PP#6 Hit the Roof *Velasquez* 88/90 *Stick Best Bet, LS JOE SPECIAL*
Second Selection: PP#1 Jim's Mistake *Migliore* 82/85
Third Selection: PP#3 Lambourne *Bailey* 77/85
Fourth Selections: PP#5 Sudden Impact *M.Smith* 76/80
Reasons:
Roof looks much stronger in this spot then yesterday. If his connections think he win here, you had better watch out. Dutrow long known as a Sprint Trainer. Strong Chance. Probable Top Two.
Mistake is a speedy horse who likes to middle move to the lead in the stretch. Hard to gauge his class from his past few races. This might be his proper level. Then again...it might be too steep.
Lambourne always hits the board, its just he does not win all that often. Major Seconditis affected him against State Breds. Bailey always dangerous. Could be a price at 5-1 or better for Exotics. Don't go over board, rarely wins.
Impact has D.Wayne and Bob-Bev Lewis, but he is a NY Bred ! No Doubt about it that this horse was ment exclusivly for the Empire Classic $250K race when bought, and he simply sprints better then he routs. Has a lot of speed, has won at Belm, but been tiring very badly lately. Probable Price, strong connections can jump up and bite you if you ignore them. Your Call.
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Race #7-ALLW-$43K-1 1/4 Mile *Good Field*
Top Selection: PP#5 Gun Hill *M.Smith* 94/95
Second Selection: PP#1 Willing Consort *Chavez* 92/95
Third Selection: PP#6 Double Team *Migliore* 90/95
Fourth Selections: PP#8 Dynability *Velasquez* 81/85
Reasons:
Hill has won two of last three with a strong second last time out by a nose. Steps up in class each time have been good moves, but now must conquer the added distance in this marathon. Ran a nose off Holye, beats this field if he can go the distance.
Consort closed strongly in his first start on turf at Fair Grounds. Then rane here ina turf to mud race at this distance. Chop Chop and 007 Trainer always tough, leave off at your own risk. Probable top three finish.
Team Loves Turf Distance races and has Clement for his trainer. Could win outright. Probable top three. Should be overbet and is more likly for Exotics then for Win.
Dynability broke his maiden on AQU turf, but his is a BIG step up. Will be long, and may not have enough punch to challenge top horses, but could be a price if he runs a Big Race. A Longshot Saver wager only.
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Race #8-ALLW-$46K-6 Furlongs *Solid Field*
Top Selection: PP#7 Gather the Day *Migliore* 100/100 *Stick Best Bet*
Second Selection: PP#5 Strong Little Girl *Davis* 94/95 *Longshot Joe, Fast Fran*
Third Selection: PP#1 Shes Big *A.Smith* 84/85
Fourth Selections: PP#6 Paula's Girl *Velasquez* 79/85
Reasons:
Day is PEAKING ! He is undefeated in Three(3)starts. She is only a 3 year old, but what a future she has ! Two Bullets from her workouts, and we saw the Owners in their Boxes in front of a very nice Jane cheering their baby on last time out. Good Luck, you have a Great Horse, and a potential Champion.
Girl is a nice Sprinter also. She won her last two and has ability and a Strong Chance in here. Steps in off a claim, but at 6F anything is possible. Might hit the front and forget to give up the lead. Probable top three.
Big is another nice sprinter. Perhaps a little above class level, but could Surprise for the Big win. Not likely to be a Winner, but might make an Exacta. Be wary of low odds here.
Paula's Girl has been popping and stopping. Her last three were good eforts, but she could not hold. Showing two BIG Bullet Workouts and best of 66 and 21 at 4F. Will she hold on here ? Should be a value and a nice price. Only for Big Risk Takers.
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Race #9-ALLW-$44K-7 Furlongs *Uneven Field*
Top Selection: PP#5 She la Rose *Davis* 82/85
Second Selection: PP#7 Homah Sav *Chavez* 80/85
Third Selection: PP#8 Eppiest *A.Smith* 77/80
Fourth Selections: PP#2 Luck Abounds *Baily* 73/80
Reasons:
Rose is a nice horse, she won her last at this same level. A Repeat puts her in the winners circle again. This field not the most consistant, so not a Big Play.
Sav has finished second twice in her last two. she should be rolling through the stretch for a piece, but has not put her wins together, 1 for last 10 so far. A Probable Top three finish.
Eppiest is probably better then his last two race ssuggest. His 2nd last time could make him a winner here. Don't take low odds for the Win, but use this one in Your Super's. Uneven performance, hard to gauge.
Abounds has speed, but is 2 off a layoff and may need another race. Could easily hit the top four(4). Bailey returns for the ride. Probable value in Exotics.
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