*BELMONT STKS* 06 SPECIAL SELECTIONS FOR 6/10/06
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(Previous days selections are free to view.)
Example Horse Line Broken Down:
| Rank |
SVI |
PP# |
Horse Name |
Jockey |
EPL/MPL FIGURE |
HDCP |
Handicapper's Abbreviations after EPL/MPL Figure :
| SBB = Stick Best Bet |
SSP = Stick Spot Play |
FFS = Fast Fran Sleeper |
LSJ = Long Shot Joe |
BLZ = Blaze's Fire |
NSP = No staff pk |
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*EVERY RACE TODAY IS LISTED BELOW SCROLL DOWN*
NOTICE - THE BELMONT STKS IS IN *EXPANDED GOLD RUSH FORMAT* ALL OTHER RACES AT STARTER LEVEL.
*BOX ALL EXOTICS, PLAY W-P ON YOUR TOP SELECTIONS FOR SAVER VALUE*
PP# is the Post Position #, Always Check for your Selection's Correct
Wager #. The Stick is not responsible for errors in PP#'s.
SVI (Stick Value Index) is the Figure BEFORE the PP#.
(Example P95 PP#7,etc.)
*-Note, SVI is NOT the Stick Figure or Variant, and should NOT be used
in place of them.
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Race #1
Top Selection: G76 PP#1 Neon Magic Luzzi 66/70
Second Selection: G75 PP#5 Light Night Santos 65/70 *FFS*
Third Selection: G72 PP#8 Sir Tyler T Garcia 63/65
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Race #2
Top Selection: S62 PP#1 Spring At Last Luzzi 73/80 *BLZ*
Second Selection: G75 PP#7 Calculated Risk Prado 72/75 *SSP*
Third Selection: G78 PP#2 Sandy's Blitz Leparoux 70/80
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Race #3
Top Selection: G73 PP#2 Safsoof Gomez 85/95 *FFS*
Second Selection: D85 PP#6 Freedom Isnt Free Migliore 83/90 *LSJ*
Third Selection: G76 PP#3 Wild Nature Prado 81/90
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Race #4
Top Selection: G72 PP#7 Precise Action Coa 86/90 *BLZ*
Second Selection: G70 PP#5 River Squire Espinoza 83/90
Third Selection: D84 PP#9 Rizzis Brass Band Chang 82/90 *LSJ*
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Race #5
Top Selection: G76 PP#2 Cool Springs Saint Coa 77/80 *SBB*
Second Selection: S63 PP#3 Afrashad Migliore 74/80
Third Selection: G70 PP#5 Bogota Bill Morales 72/80 *BLZ*
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Race #6-TRUE NORTH
Top Selection: G72 PP#3 Tiger-#1 entry Coa 75/80 *SSP*
Second Selection: S66 PP#8 Anew Garcia 73/80 *FFS*
Third Selection: G75 PP#6 Uncle Camie Migliore 71/75
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Race #7-JUST A GAME-$300K
Top Selection: G74 PP#3 Wend Prado 106/110 *SBB, FFS*
Second Selection: G78 PP#6 Pommes Frites Velasquez 104/110 *BLZ*
Third Selection: G73 PP#2 Gorella Leparoux 103/115 *LSJ*
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Race #8-WOODY STEPHANS-$250K
Top Selection: S68 PP#5 Keyed Entry Velazquez 96/100 *SSP*
Second Selection: G78 PP#3 Noonmark Bridgmohan 95/105 *LSJ*
Third Selection: G73 PP#1 Too Much Bling Gomez 93/95 *BLZ, FFS*
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Race #9-ACORN G1-$250K-1 Mile *GRADE 1 HORSES*
Top Selection: D85 PP#3 Bushfire Solis 100/100 *SBB, BLZ*
Second Selection: G76 PP#2 Adieu Gomez 97/100 *SSP*
Third Selection: G74 PP#8 Hello Liberty Arroyo 95/100 *LSJ, BLZ*
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Race #10-MANHATTAN G1-$400K-1 1/4 Mile(TURF) *GRADE 1 STAKES HORSES*
Top Selection: G73 PP#4 Cacique Prado 94/95 *SBB*
Second Selection: G71 PP#8 English Channel Velazquez 93/95 *FFS*
Third Selection: G79 PP#2 Relaxed Gesture Desormeaux 92/100 *BLZ*
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Race #11-BELMONT STAKES G1-$1 MIL-1 1/2 Mile *3rd LEG OF TRIPLE CROWN*
Top Selection: G72 PP#11 Steppenwolfer Albarado 115/125 *SBB, BLZ, FFS*
Second Selection: S66 PP#2 Sunriver Bejarano 114/125
Third Selection: G79 PP#5 High Finance Coa 112/125 *LSJ, SSP*
Fourth Selection : D80 PP#4 Bob and John Gomez 109/115 *BLZ-2nd, FFS-2nd*
Fifth Selection : S69 PP#8 Jazil Jara 107/115 *SSP-2nd, LSJ-2nd*
FULL COMMENTS (GOLD RUSH LEVEL) :
Steppenwolfer is the last man standing after the tragic ending of Barbaro's career. With no Barbaro, or Lawyer Ron to worry about, Steppenwolfer can sit back early and come closing late with his usual powerful run. Robby Albarado will have to time his move correctly, but looks to have a lot of time on his hands early to get position and wait for the front runners to come back to him. While this one is not a lock play, we should see very decent odds of 5-1 or better and thats a great price on a very talented and successful colt who finally has the oppotunity to emerge from the shadows of the top 3 year olds and shine.
Sunriver looks fantastic in this spot ! He loves Belmont Park, has won 2 of his last 4, and ran very well against superstar Barbero twice. While the media will push the other Pletcher trainee, Bluegrass Cat, we have to point this one as being much better then Bluegrass Cat. The Cat lost many times ad a favorite in grade 3 level races, to then rebound and run a huge 2nd place finish in the KY Derby. However, there is no reason to think that Bluegrass Cat wants to go 1 1/2 miles, and there is no set up rabbit for him this time. The speed horse, Keyed Entry is racing in the 7F Woody Stepehns, and cannot push the pace for Bluegrass Cat. Sunriver is the better half of the uncoupled Todd Pletcher entry, and we should see 4-1 or better on this one as well. A solid horse to keep in the exotics.
High Finance is showing massive improvement in his recent form and looks ready to run a huge race. I believe he is peaking at the perfect time for the Belmont Stakes. We expect to see 12-1 or better odds, and Eibar Coa knows how to ride this horse. He may try to steak the race on the front end. With a lack of many early speed horses, and the distance, the field may let this one run off to an easy early lead. Horses like this get very brave on the lead, and he may forget to stop, or get so far in front of the others that he could shake loose on the far turn. While we caution against a horse jumping up in class so suddenly from an ALLW to a Grade 1, it should be noted that trainer Rich Violette is a great trainer, and has moved ALLW level horses into other stakes races with success and in the money finishes. Lets round off a big exotic(Triple and Superfecta) ticket with this one in the mix.
Bob and John looked so good going into the KY Derby only to falter and finish 17th. However, if you consider that race a fluke, he has powerful victories in the Sham and Wood Memorial Stakes. He is another colt who has been running with the very best 3 yr olds around the country. This is his chance to shine and he does possess enough tactical speed to be near the lead turning for home. Garret Gomez has been spending the Summer in NY and knows Belmont Park very well. This one may run a big race and should also be between 6-1 and 10-1 odds. Bob Baffert was once considered a mainstay in the Tripl Crown races, and he has been very supportive of this one, may be a tiger in the wings waiting for a big effort here.
Jazil isthe stone cold closer of the field. He always fires late and has a 1 1/2 Mile distance to make up any short comings he suffers from lack of speed. He is consistanly dismissed at odds of 20-1 or higher and always manages to come in the top 4. This one is an important Superfecta filler, and while we do like 4 horses above him, you can mix and match him into the mix as well.
Betting Tips : Remember, a 5 horse Triple Box for $1 will cost $60 (5x4x3=60 x $1 = $60). A 4 Horse Box will cost $24(4x3x2)
A 5 horse Superfecta Box for $1 will cost $120 (5x4x3x2=120 x $1 = $120). A 4 Horse Box will cost $24 !(4x3x2x1) The same cost as a 4 Horse Triple Box.
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Race #12-CLMG-($16K)-5 1/2 Furlongs *Good Field*
Top Selection: S69 PP#1 Thunder Pass Coa 78/80 *SBB*
Second Selection: G75 PP#10 Exton Velasquez 76/80 *FFS*
Third Selection: P92 PP#2 Mantle Gomez 75/80
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Race #13-MDN.CLMG-($12.5K)-7 Furlongs *Good Field*
Top Selection: S69 PP#9 Crafty Drive Migliore 77/80 *SSP*
Second Selection: D83 PP#2 Midtown South Espinoza 75/80 *LSJ*
Third Selection: G76 PP#3 Peconic Bay Morales 73/75
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*GO WIN BIG* and Enjoy Your Day !
Best Luck,
MC, The Stick Horse Racing Dot Com
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